The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. The "Core" CPI excludes volatile food and energy costs to reveal the underlying inflation trend.
| Condition | USD Value | Gold (XAU/USD) | Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual > Forecast (Inflation rises) | 🟢 Typically strengthens | 🔴 Typically weakens | 🔴 Typically weakens |
| Actual < Forecast (Inflation drops) | 🔴 Typically weakens | 🟢 Typically strengthens | 🟢 Typically strengthens |
| Date (UTC) | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026, 09:00 | 33 | — | 30.4 | — |
| 30 Jul 2026, 09:00 | 30.3 | — | 34 | — |
| 29 Jun 2026, 09:00 | 34 | — | 40.4 | — |
| 28 May 2026, 09:00 | 40.5 | — | 48.8 | — |
| 29 Apr 2026, 09:00 | 49.1 | — | 43.5 | — |
| 30 Mar 2026, 09:00 | 43.4 | — | 26.2 | — |
| 26 Feb 2026, 10:00 | 25.8 | — | 24.2 | — |
| 29 Jan 2026, 10:00 | 24.1 | — | 26.7 | — |
| 08 Jan 2026, 10:00 | 26.7 | — | 24.3 | — |
| 27 Nov 2025, 10:00 | 23.1 | — | 21.9 | — |
| 30 Oct 2025, 10:00 | 21.9 | — | 24 | — |
| 29 Sep 2025, 09:00 | 24 | — | 25.8 | — |
Surprise is actual minus forecast, in the indicator's own units. It is what happened, not a prediction.
Spreads widen and fills slip in the minutes around a scheduled release, which distorts a validation run's entry prices. Treat forward results that straddle this window with care — they are not comparable to a backtest that never saw it.
High-impact releases are posted to the channel 15 minutes ahead, and again with the actual figure once it prints.