The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. The "Core" CPI excludes volatile food and energy costs to reveal the underlying inflation trend.
| Condition | USD Value | Gold (XAU/USD) | Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual > Forecast (Inflation rises) | 🟢 Typically strengthens | 🔴 Typically weakens | 🔴 Typically weakens |
| Actual < Forecast (Inflation drops) | 🔴 Typically weakens | 🟢 Typically strengthens | 🟢 Typically strengthens |
| Date (UTC) | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026, 12:30 | 12.4% | — | 12.4% | — |
| 24 Jul 2026, 12:30 | 12.4% | — | 13.6% | — |
| 18 Jun 2026, 12:30 | 13.6% | — | 11.1% | — |
| 22 May 2026, 12:30 | 11.4% | — | 7.8% | — |
| 23 Apr 2026, 12:30 | 7.8% | — | 5.6% | — |
| 20 Mar 2026, 12:30 | 5.4% | — | 5.6% | — |
| 20 Feb 2026, 13:30 | 5.4% | — | 4.3% | — |
| 21 Jan 2026, 13:30 | 4.9% | — | 5.9% | — |
| 22 Dec 2025, 13:30 | 6.1% | — | 5.7% | — |
| 20 Nov 2025, 13:30 | 6% | — | 5.7% | — |
| 20 Oct 2025, 12:30 | 5.5% | — | 3.7% | — |
| 22 Sep 2025, 12:30 | 4% | — | 2.6% | — |
Surprise is actual minus forecast, in the indicator's own units. It is what happened, not a prediction.
Spreads widen and fills slip in the minutes around a scheduled release, which distorts a validation run's entry prices. Treat forward results that straddle this window with care — they are not comparable to a backtest that never saw it.
High-impact releases are posted to the channel 15 minutes ahead, and again with the actual figure once it prints.