A scheduled macroeconomic release. Prints that miss their forecast tend to move related markets sharply in the minutes around the release, which is why a validation run that straddles the window is hard to compare with a backtest that never saw it.
| Date (UTC) | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2026, 07:00 | 15.5BCHF | — | 3BCHF | — |
| 24 Mar 2026, 08:00 | 7BCHF | — | 15.8BCHF | — |
| 19 Dec 2025, 08:00 | 15.4BCHF | — | 12.5BCHF | — |
| 23 Sep 2025, 07:00 | 10.2BCHF | — | 23.5BCHF | — |
| 20 Jun 2025, 08:00 | 19.4BCHF | — | 9.8BCHF | — |
| 24 Mar 2025, 08:00 | 9.8BCHF | — | 5.5BCHF | — |
| 20 Dec 2024, 08:00 | 6.3BCHF | — | 18.3BCHF | — |
| 20 Sep 2024, 07:00 | 19.8BCHF | — | 10.3BCHF | — |
Surprise is actual minus forecast, in the indicator's own units. It is what happened, not a prediction.
Spreads widen and fills slip in the minutes around a scheduled release, which distorts a validation run's entry prices. Treat forward results that straddle this window with care — they are not comparable to a backtest that never saw it.
High-impact releases are posted to the channel 15 minutes ahead, and again with the actual figure once it prints.