A scheduled macroeconomic release. Prints that miss their forecast tend to move related markets sharply in the minutes around the release, which is why a validation run that straddles the window is hard to compare with a backtest that never saw it.
| Date (UTC) | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026, 12:45 | — | — | — | — |
| 09 Jul 2026, 13:00 | — | — | — | — |
| 26 Jun 2026, 14:30 | — | — | — | — |
| 25 Jun 2026, 19:40 | — | — | — | — |
| 28 May 2026, 12:55 | — | — | — | — |
| 14 May 2026, 21:45 | — | — | — | — |
| 12 May 2026, 07:15 | — | — | — | — |
| 07 May 2026, 19:30 | — | — | — | — |
| 04 May 2026, 16:50 | — | — | — | — |
| 16 Apr 2026, 12:35 | — | — | — | — |
| 30 Mar 2026, 20:00 | — | — | — | — |
| 03 Mar 2026, 14:55 | — | — | — | — |
Surprise is actual minus forecast, in the indicator's own units. It is what happened, not a prediction.
Spreads widen and fills slip in the minutes around a scheduled release, which distorts a validation run's entry prices. Treat forward results that straddle this window with care — they are not comparable to a backtest that never saw it.
High-impact releases are posted to the channel 15 minutes ahead, and again with the actual figure once it prints.